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Serie BSerie B
Etapa 25

Sampdoria vs Padova Pronostic și Sfaturi de Pariuri

Sampdoria

Sampdoria

14º31 puncte
14 feb. 2026
1-0
Final
Padova

Padova

11º34 puncte
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Corect
Selecția noastră
Total goluri
Sub 2.5
@ 1.64
1 : 0
FT

Sfaturi de pariere

53%
27%
20%
SampdoriaRemizăPadova
Rezultat
Victorie acasă
@ 1.60
53%
Ambele echipe marchează
Nu
@ 1.72
54%
Dublă șansă
Acasă/Niciunul
@ 1.16
41%
Handicap asiatic
H. Gazde -0.75
@ 1.97
51%
Primul Timp
Remiză
@ 1.86
45%
HT/FT
Remiză/Gazdă
@ 4.20
23.8%
Scor exact
1:0
@ 5.00
20.0%

Piețe suplimentare

Total corner-uri
Sub 9.5
@ 1.70
54.7%
Goleador oricând
Massimo Coda
48.8%@ 2.05
Matteo Brunori
41.7%@ 2.40
Simone Leonardi
33.3%@ 3.00
Edoardo Soleri
33.3%@ 3.00
Nicholas Pierini
29.4%@ 3.40
Simone Pafundi
27.8%@ 3.60
Cotele actualizate la fiecare oră
Ponturile recalculat la fiecare 2 ore
Blocat cu 2 ore înainte de start

Analiză de experți

David Coleman
David Coleman Analist Senior de Fotbal
75% 20+ ani
6 min citit

Unstoppable Push or Steady Ship? Analyzing Sampdoria vs Padova In a fixture that could subtly influence their season trajectories, Sampdoria welcomes Padova to the Luigi Ferraris on February 14. The spotlight centers not just on the teams’ standings ...

Citește analiza completă

Fapte ale Meciului

Sampdoria
Sampdoria au marcat toate cele 5 penalty-uri în acest sezon
Sampdoria au câștigat doar 1 din 15 meciuri în deplasare în acest sezon
Sampdoria marchează 37% din goluri după minutul 75 (11 goluri)
Sampdoria au primit 3 cartonașe roșii în 30 meciuri în acest sezon
Sampdoria marchează 70% din goluri în a doua repriză
M. Coda a fost implicat în 12 goluri (9G + 3A)
Padova
Padova au primit gol în fiecare dintre ultimele 6 meciuri
Padova au marcat toate cele 4 penalty-uri în acest sezon
Padova au primit gol în prima repriză în 10 din ultimele 15 meciuri (67%)
Padova are o medie de 2.5 cartonașe galbene pe meci (76 în 30 meciuri)

Statistici Cheie

Sampdoria1
1Remize
0Padova
1.5Medie Goluri
50%Ambele Echipe Marchează
0%Peste 2.5
14 feb. 2026Sampdoria1-0Padova
20 dec. 2025Padova1-1Sampdoria
Vezi toate întâlnirile

Cote

Casa de pariuri1X2
10Bet1.283.253.30
188Bet1.833.354.20
1xBet1.813.105.21

Analiză completă

David Coleman
David Coleman
Analist Senior de Fotbal
75% Acuratețe
20+ Ani de experiență
5.5k Ponturi

Unstoppable Push or Steady Ship? Analyzing Sampdoria vs Padova

In a fixture that could subtly influence their season trajectories, Sampdoria welcomes Padova to the Luigi Ferraris on February 14. The spotlight centers not just on the teams’ standings but on individual brilliance—most notably, M. Coda’s relentless pursuit of goals for Sampdoria. As both sides aim for consistency in the increasingly congested Serie B table, understanding the nuances of their recent form, tactical approaches, and key personnel becomes essential for unraveling this matchup's potential outcomes.

Setting the Scene: League Significance & Strategic Implications

While neither club sits at the summit, both are eyeing vital points that could propel them toward the upper echelons of Serie B. Sampdoria, standing 14th with 26 points, and Padova, just three points ahead with 29, are locked in a tight mid-table battle. For Sampdoria, consolidating home advantage at the Luigi Ferraris could be pivotal, especially given their recent trend of mixed results—averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 1.2 per game. Padova, with a slightly more defensive bent, boasts six clean sheets and averages 1.2 goals scored, but their recent form has been inconsistent.

Momentum Matters: Analyzing the Recent Run

Sampdoria's recent form of four wins, four draws, and two losses suggests a side resilient under pressure, especially with a streak of consecutive draws interspersed with victories. Their last five matches showcase a scoring rate of about 1.4 goals per game, with defensive lapses leading to an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Notably, 70% of their games feature both teams scoring, indicating a commitment to attacking play despite defensive vulnerabilities.

In contrast, Padova's five matches show a more inconsistent pattern: three wins but four losses, with their form dipping into three consecutive defeats recently. Their goals per game are slightly lower at 1.2, and conceding 1.4 reflects defensive fragility, despite their six clean sheets. With a BTTS rate of 60%, their matches often feature both offensive opportunities and defensive lapses.

Tactical Blueprints: Formations and Game Plans

Sampdoria typically deploys a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing width and midfield control. Their approach leans on quick transitions and the utilization of wide players like F. Depaoli, who offers both width and defensive stability. The team’s attacking identity revolves around M. Coda, whose 9 goals make him central to their offensive threats, supported by N. Ioannou and Depaoli in creating scoring opportunities.

Padova, lining up in a 3-5-2 setup, prioritizes defensive solidity with a robust five-man midfield. Their wing-backs and central midfielders aim to disrupt opposition rhythm, while their two strikers look to capitalize on counter-attacks. Their defensive sturdiness, reflected in six clean sheets, suggests they are prepared to absorb pressure and hit on the break.

Key Players Who Could Shift the Balance

  • Sampdoria:
    • Mario Coda: The talisman with 9 goals, Coda’s positioning and finishing could be decisive if Padova’s defensive line wavers.
    • F. Depaoli: Beyond his assist tally, his crossing and set-piece delivery threaten to unlock Padova’s defensive shape.
    • N. Ioannou: A versatile presence in the backline and attack, Ioannou’s contributions could skew the game’s defensive battles.
  • Padova:
    • Top Scorers: While specific names are not provided, their attacking players are crucial to exploit any lapses from Sampdoria’s defense.
    • Defensive Anchors: The defenders orchestrating their six clean sheets will be vital—stopping Coda and preventing set-piece damage.
    • Midfield Playmakers: Their ability to control possession and supply quick counters can be game-changers.

Head-to-Head: Patterns and Potential Trends

The recent meeting between the sides ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring and the match averaging two goals overall. Historically, matches between Sampdoria and Padova tend to be tightly contested, with a 100% BTTS rate in their last encounter and an average of two goals per game. This pattern suggests a propensity for both sides to find the net but also indicates defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited either way.

This recent 1-1 result underscores the importance of set-piece efficiency and the importance of defensive organization, especially considering Sampdoria's leaky defense at times.

Dissecting the Bookmakers: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

  • Match Winner: Sampdoria at 1.36 (implying a 55.8% chance), Padova at 4 (19%), Draw at 3 (25.3%)
  • Double Chance: 1X at 1.22 (implied 82%), 12 at 1.35 (74%), X2 at 1.8 (56%)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Typically, the odds favored for under 2.5 are around 1.80, aligning with a 59% probability, based on recent scoring patterns.
  • BTTS: Odds near 1.80 suggest a 55-60% likelihood, which aligns with recent trends of both teams scoring in most games.
  • Asian Handicap: Home -0.5 at 1.95 indicates a close estimate of Sampdoria’s chance to win outright, considering their slight edge playing at home.

Analyzing implied probabilities reveals that the market heavily favors Sampdoria, but the value lies in the modest under 2.5 goals market, as recent scoring rates just about support that threshold. The BTTS market also provides a fair proposition, given the current form and head-to-head tendencies.

Predictions and Confidence Levels: A Data-Driven Outlook

  • Match Result: Sampdoria win (50% confidence) – Their home advantage and marginally better form tip the scales, though Padova’s resilience cannot be discounted.
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 at 59% confidence – Given the cautious tactical setups and recent scoring averages, a low-scoring affair appears probable.
  • Both Teams Score: No (53% confidence) – Slightly leaning towards a game where Sampdoria’s attack may find openings, but Padova’s defensive discipline could hold firm.
  • Double Chance (1X): Favoring Sampdoria or a draw, with a 39% confidence—good value considering their home edge and recent form.

Final Word: Tactical Discipline and Key Moments Will Decide

Sampdoria's attacking talent, led by Coda, combined with their home advantage, makes them marginal favorites. However, Padova’s defensive organization, paired with their counter-attacking potential, ensures this game remains tight and competitive. Expect a match where patience and capitalizing on set-pieces or defensive lapses will be decisive—especially given the statistical leaning towards under 2.5 goals and no BTTS outcome.

Best Bets Summary

  • Sampdoria to Win (1X): Based on odds and recent form, with a fair chance of extracting a narrow victory.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Considering current scoring averages, this remains attractive with over 59% implied probability.
  • BTTS No: Slightly favored, given the defensive patterns and tactical setups.

In this encounter, statistical trends, tactical setups, and recent form converge on a low-scoring, closely contested match where Sampdoria’s slight home-edge could be the difference-maker. The intelligent bettor will consider the value in the under 2.5 goals market and the double chance, given the probabilities involved.

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Informații suplimentare

SampdoriaSampdoria

Golgeteri principali

M. Coda
M. CodaAtacant
9Goluri
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliFundaș
2Goluri
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouFundaș
2Goluri
L. Henderson
L. HendersonMijlocaș
2Goluri
S. Pafundi
S. PafundiMijlocaș
1Goluri

Asistențe

M. Coda
M. CodaAtacant
3Asistențe
S. Pafundi
S. PafundiMijlocaș
3Asistențe
O. Abildgaard
O. AbildgaardMijlocaș
2Asistențe
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliFundaș
1Asistențe
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouFundaș
1Asistențe

Cartonașe

L. Henderson
L. HendersonMijlocaș
100
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliFundaș
70
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouFundaș
50
S. Vulikić
S. VulikićFundaș
40
L. Benedetti
L. BenedettiMijlocaș
40
PadovaPadova

Golgeteri principali

Fără date

Asistențe

Fără date

Cartonașe

A. Barreca
A. BarrecaFundaș
10

Formă Detaliată & Meciuri Recente

Sampdoria
EDEDD
10Jucat
3Victories
4Remize
3Înfrângeri
Puncte/Meci1.3
Proc. de Victorie %30%
Goluri/Meci2.1
Medie Goluri0.9
Medie Concediate1.2
Ambele Echipe Marchează40%
Fără goluri primite40%
Nu a marcat40%

Meciuri Recente

14 mar.Evs Venezia0-0
8 mar.Dla Frosinone0-3
4 mar.Ela Juventus Stabia1-1
27 feb.Dvs Bari0-2
21 feb.Dla Mantova1-2
Padova
DDEVE
10Jucat
2Victories
3Remize
5Înfrângeri
Puncte/Meci0.9
Proc. de Victorie %20%
Goluri/Meci2.8
Medie Goluri1.1
Medie Concediate1.7
Ambele Echipe Marchează60%
Fără goluri primite10%
Nu a marcat30%

Meciuri Recente

14 mar.Dvs Catanzaro1-3
7 mar.Dla Avellino0-1
3 mar.Evs Spezia2-2
28 feb.Vla Modena2-1
21 feb.Evs Bari1-1

Istoricul Întâlnirilor

Statistici de Pariuri

MetricăValoare
Total Meciuri2
Medie Goluri1.5
Ambele Echipe Marchează50%
Peste 2.5 Goluri0%
Peste 1.5 Goluri50%

Goluri pe Echipa

EchipaTotalMedie
Sampdoria21 pe meci
Padova10.5 pe meci

Fără goluri primite

EchipaFără goluri primite
Sampdoria1 (50%)
Padova0 (0%)
14 feb. 2026Serie BSampdoria1-0Padova
20 dec. 2025Serie BPadova1-1Sampdoria